6月4日+生猪研究报告.ppt

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1、2011,6,24,010-S1010510120004,010-S1010510120044,010-,2011,1-5,46.1%,38.2%,5,67.3%,6.66%90.1%,58.4%80.3%6,5.73%3,11,10,2007,1,2011,2,2007 4,2011,5,10,1,6,6,6,4,5,-0.8010,113,6,11,-0.85,07.4-11.5,07.5-11.5,07.6-11.5,07.7-11.5,07.8-11.5,07.9-11.5,07.10-11.5,07.11-11.5,07.12-11.5,2007.1-2011.22007.1-201

2、1.12007.1-2010.122007.1-2010.112007.1-2010.102007.1-2010.92007.1-2010.82007.1-2010.72007.1-2010.6,-0.702,-0.750,0.778,-0.806,-0.800,-0.786,-0.737,-0.675,-0.577,t,t,2,10,07.4-11.5,07.5-11.5,07.6-11.5,07.7-11.5,07.8-11.5,07.9-11.5,07.10-11.5,07.11-11.5,07.12-11.5,2007.1-2011.22007.1-2011.12007.1-2010.

3、122007.1-2010.112007.1-2010.102007.1-2010.92007.1-2010.82007.1-2010.72007.1-2010.6,-0.446,-0.543,-0.629,-0.696,-0.744,-0.789,-0.829,-0.851,-0.828,1,6,/,2,10,/,2007.1-2010.11,2007.1-2010.7,480004700046000450004400043000,2007.7-2011.5,18161412108,11010090807060,2007.11-2011.5,18161412108,3 STATA,Coef.

4、,Std.Err.,P|t|,95%Conf.,Interval,-.207309431.84889,.02322482.117024,-8.9315.04,0.0000.000,-.254086527.58498,-.160532336.11279,4 STATA,Coef.,Std.Err.,P|t|,95%Conf.,Interval,.20439212.79010724.54585,.02234641.2760483.910265,9.152.196.28,0.0000.0340.000,.2494284.218401316.66523,.15935585.36181232.42648

5、,4,115,9,35,5,7-14,2011,6,24,1,200906,200907,200908,200909,200910,200911,200912,201001,201002,201003,201004,201005,201006,201007,201008,201009,201010,201011,201012,201101,201102,201103,201104,201105,200801,200805,200809,200901,200905,200909,201001,201005,201009,201101,201105,34,6,4,1,4,5,7-9,6,2011,

6、56,10,10,3,4800047000460004500044000430004200041000,5000490048004700460045004400,11010090807060,695,/,2011,6,24,2,-,Analyst CertificationiiiThe analysts primarily responsible for the preparation of all or part of the research report containedherein hereby certify that:(i)the views expressed in this

7、research report accurately reflect the personal views of each such analystabout the subject securities and issuers;and(ii)no part of the analysts compensation was,is,or will be directly or indirectly,related tothe specific recommendations or views expressed in this research report.,/,(,),(1),(2)/201

8、11.,300,20%,6,6,300300,5%-10%,20%5%,2.,6,300300,300300300300,10%10%-10%10%10%,48,1568,8,1,100125,22,200122,518048,26,Foreign Broker-Dealer Disclosures for Distributing to the U.S.This report has been produced in its entirety by CITIC Securities Limited Company(“CITIC Securities”,regulated by the Chi

9、na SecuritiesRegulatory Commission.Securities Business License Number:Z20374000).This report is being distributed in the United States by CITIC Securitiespursuant to Rule 15a-6(a)(2)under the U.S.Securities Exchange Act of 1934 exclusively to“major U.S.institutional investors”as defined in Rule 15a-6,and the SEC no-action letters thereunder.,Z20374000,1934,15a-6(a)(2),15a-6,

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