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1、2013,2,PMI,2013,3,1,010-S1010510120003010-S1010511080002,010-S1010510120052010-S1010511080003,010-S1010511080001010-,2013,3,1,CFLP,2013,2,PMI,50.1%,2,0.3PMI,250.1%,PMI,50.4.%0.3,1.9,PMIPMI,1 PMI5856545250484644424038,50%,PMI,PMI,%,05/09,06/09,07/09,08/09,09/09,10/09,11/09,12/09,1,2,60585654525048464
2、442,PMI,%,40,2005,2006,2007,2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013,3,60585654525048464442,PMI,%,40,2006,2007,2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013,4,6058565452504846444240,PMI,2013-01,2013-02,%,2,51.2%,0.1,46.6%,0.8,2013,49.5%10.5%,0.6,2,5,%,86420-2-4-6-8-10-12-14,-,2520151050,08/01,09/01,10/01,11/01,12/01,13/01,2,P
3、PI,-1.5%,2,55.5%,1.7,2,50%,19,50%,60%,2,PPI,-1.5%,2,PMIPMI,PMI,6 26055,PMI,2,PMI,%,5045403,720100,PMI,1,2 PMI,1,%,-10-20-304,-,Analyst CertificationiiiThe analysts primarily responsible for the preparation of all or part of the research report contained herein hereby certify that:(i)the views expres
4、sed in this research report accurately reflect the personal views of each such analyst about the subject securities and issuers;and(ii)views expressed in thisresearch report.,/,(,),(1),(2)/20131,300,20%,6,6,300300,5%-10%,20%5%,2,300,6300,300300300300,10%10%-10%10%10%,48,1568,8,1,100125,22,200122,518
5、048,26,Foreign Broker-Dealer Disclosures for Distributing to the U.S.Securities RegulatoryCommission.Securities Business License Number:Z20374000).This report is being distributed in the United States by CITIC Securities pursuant to Rule,15a-letters thereunder.,e 15a-6 and the SEC no-actionZ20374000,1934,15a-6(a)(2),15a-6,