世界银行-全球价值链对发展中国家的妇女友好吗?:来自企业级数据的证据(英).docx

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1、Pzo三nalnsoosQo-qndPolicyResearchWorkingPaper10667reGlobalValueChainsWomenFriendlyinDevelopingCountries?EvidencefromFirm-1.evelDatapzuolnalnsoosQ9-qnC1.MarizeKallinyChahirZakiWOR1.DBANKGROUP*T7MiddleEastandNorthAfricaRegionOfficeoftheChiefEconomistJanuary2024PolicyResearchWorkingPaper10667AbstractDes

2、pitetheeffortsmadetoincreasewomensinclusionintheeconomy,theyarestillunderrepresentedintradeingeneralandinglobalvaluechainsinparticular.Thus,(hispaperaimsatexaminingtheimpactofglobalvaluechainsonwomenstradeparticipationasentrepreneursandemployees.Italsoanalyzeshowthiseffectismoderatedthroughexternal(

3、genderprovisionsintradeagreements)andinternal(investmentclimatevariables)factors.Theanalysisusesfirm-leveldatafor154developingeconomiesandemergingmarketswithaspecialfocusontheMiddleEastandNorthAfricaregion,beingoneoftheregionswiththelowestfemalelaborforceparticipation.Themainfindingsshowthatglobalva

4、luechainsintegrationincreasesthelikelihoodofbeingafemaleownerandtheshareoffemaleemployees,especiallyproductionones.Alessrobustnegativeeffectisfoundibrtheimpactonbeingafemaletopmanager.Theseeffectsaremoderatedbytheinclusionofgenderprovisionsintradeagreementsandbythecharacter-isticsoftheinvestmentclim

5、ate(especiallytaxpolicy,accesstofinance,andcorruption).Theseresultsremainrobustaftercontrollingfortheendogeneityofglobalvaluechainsusinganinstrumentalvariableapproachandapropensityscoreestimationmethodwherethetreatmentisbeingpartofaglobalvaluechains.Thus,globalvaluechainscanbeperceivedasatoolthatboo

6、stswomen,sempowermentinemergingeconomics,especiallyintheMiddleEastandNorthAfricaregion.ThispaperisaproductoftheOfficeoftheChiefEconomist,MiddleEastandNorthAfricaRegion.ItispartofalargereffortbytheWorldBanktoprovideopenaccesstoitsresearchandmakeacontributiontodevelopmentpolicydiscussionsaroundtheworl

7、d.PolicyResearchWorkingPapersarealsopostedontheWebathttp:/www.worldbank.org/prwp.Theauthorsmaybecontactedatchahir.zakifeps.edu.eg.hePolicyResearchWorkingPaperSeriesdissenibiatesthefifuimgsofw)rkinprogresstoencourageheexchangeofideasObOMldevelopmentissues.An(objectiveoftheseriesistogetthefitdingsoutq

8、uickly,evenifthepresentatiofisareIexsthanfullypolished.Thepaperscarrythenamesoftheauthorsandshouldbecitedaccordingly.Tliefindings,UUerpreUitions.amiconclusionsexpressedinthisIMlPerareentirelythoseofthewup,.TheydonotnecessarilyrepresenttheviewsoftheImemaiionalBankforReconsinciionandDevelopniefuZWorld

9、Bankanditsaffiliatedorganizations,orthoseoftheExecutiveDirectorsoftheWorldHankorthegovernmentstheyrepresent.Producedby(heResearchSupportTeamAreGlobalValueChainsWomenFriendlyinDevelopingCountries?EvidencefromFirm-1.evelDataTheauthorsgratefullyacknowledgethefinancialandanalyticalsupportfromtheOfficeof

10、theChiefEconomistfortheMiddleEastandNorthAfrica(MNACE)undertheregional1.aborandGenderResearchPrograms(TT1.s:NellyElmallakhandNazmulChaudhury).Thefindings,interpretations,andconclusionsexpressedinthispaperareentirelythoseoftheauthors.TheydonotnecessarilyrepresenttheviewsoftheInternationalBankforRecon

11、structionandDeveIopmentAVorIdBankanditsaffiliatedorganizations,orthoseoftheExecutiveDirectorsoftheWorldBankorthegovernmentstheyrepresent.TheauthorsaregratefultoMhamedBenSaleh,EnricoMarvasiandtheanonymousrefereesforconstructivefeedback.MarizeKallinyPhDCandidateatUniversityClermontAuvergne,CNRS.IRD,CE

12、RDI,F-63000Clermont-Ferrand,France.Assistant1.ecturerofEconomics,FacultyofEconomicsandPoliticalScience-CairoUniversity(onleave).Email:marize.kalliny(feps.edu.egChahirZakiChairedProfessorofEconomics,UniversityofOrldansand1.abord,Economicd,Orlcans,EconomicResearchForumandEMANES.Email:chahir.zaki()univ

13、-orleans.frJE1.Classification:F12,F16,F23,J16Keywords:GlobalValueChains,Gender,Empowerment,Firm-level,MENA1. IntroductionWomenhavealwaysplayedasignificantandpivotalroleintheeconomythroughtheirremarkablepresenceinbusiness,agriculture,industryandeventhroughtheirunpaidcarework.Despitetheeffortsmadetoin

14、creasewomen,sinclusionintheeconomy,around2.4billionwomendonothaveaccesstoequaleconomicopportunitiesasmenaccordingtotheWorldBank,sWomen,Businessandthe1.awreport(2022).Furthermore,basedonareportpublishedonwomenbytheUnitedNationsDevelopmentProgramme(UNDP),womenperform66%oftheworld,swork,produce50%ofthe

15、food,butearnonly10%oftheincome.Inaddition,differentstagesoftheproductionprocessareincreasinglybeingfragmentedacrossdifferentcountriesthroughglobalvaluechains(GVCs),especiallyinemergingeconomies.Forthisreason,thisstudyattemptstoassesstheimpactofGVCsonwomen,sempowermentininternationaltrade.Indeed,inre

16、centyears,theworldhaswitnessedagrowinginterestintheimpactofglobalizationoneconomicpatternsingeneralandgenderequalityinparticular.AsignificantfocushasbeenonthegenderimpactofGVCsastheyhaveproventheirpowertogenerateemployment,drivedevelopment,andincreaseincome.Thesevaluechainscanhelpwomenbyprovidingmor

17、eincomethatcansupporttheireconomicempowermentbutcanalsodowngradethemtopoorlypaidandundervaluedjobs.Hence,consideringgenderissuesandaddressingthemiscriticalinordertotakeadvantageofthepotentialofGVCs,which,inturn,guaranteesabetterachievementofsustainableeconomicandsocialgoalsby2030.Inthepreviouslitera

18、ture,therelationbetweenwomen,sempowermentandinternationaltradewasambiguous.ThefirststrandofstudieswasinlinewiththeneoclassicaltheorybasedonBecker(1959)andaccordingtowhichdiscriminationiscostly.Hence,theincreaseofindustrycompetitivenessduetotradeparticipationreducestheincentivestodiscriminateagainstw

19、omenespeciallyinconcentratedindustriesthanincompetitiveones.Forinstance,Boleretal.(2015)usematchedemployer-employeedatafromtheNorwegianmanufacturingsectorandprovethattradeparticipationhasnarrowedthegenderwagegapinexportingfirmsrelativetonon-exporters.Similarly,Juhnetal.(2014)andBlackandBrainerd(2004

20、)reachthesameconclusionusingvariousdatasets.Nevertheless,contradictoryresultshavebeenproveninotherstudies.Forinstance,inastudybasedinIndia,Taiwan,andChina,Beriketal.(2004)showthatcompetitionresultingfrominternationaltradeincreaseswagediscriminationagainstfemaleworkers,whichdoesnotgoinlinewiththeneoc

21、lassicaltheory.Moreover,usingdifference-in-differcnceestimationanddatafromtheDemographicCensusfor1991and2000fieldedbytheBrazilianCensusBureau,GaddisandPieters(2017)showthattradeliberalizationdecreasedthemaleandfemalelaborforceparticipationrate.Theeffectissignificantlylargeronmen,whichmeansthatlibera

22、lizationreducedthegendergapinemploymentandparticipationrates.Nevertheless,theresultsshownoevidencethatwomengotanybenefitfromthecompetitiveeffectsofliberalizationastheiremploymentandparticipationratedidnotincreaserelativetothoseofmen.Theliteraturealsoshowsthatthelimitedornegativeemploymenteffectwasdu

23、etootherconcomitantfactorssuchastheeffectofanti-sweatshopactivism(HarrisonandScorse2010)andtheconstitutionofminimumwageforexporttariffprivileges(delCarpioetal2015).Bystudyingtheoppositedimensionofthesubject,KaramandZaki(2021)arguethatfemalelaborparticipationintheMENAregionhasapositivesignificantimpa

24、ctonbothtrademargins.Furthermore,theirresultsshowthatfemaleownershippositivelyaffectstheprobabilityofexportsoflargefirms.RegardingtherelationbetweenGVCsandwomen,sempowe11nent,somestrandsoftheliteraturestudiedtheimpactofGVCsongenderwagedisparity.Forinstance,Deb(2021)usestheTradeinValueAddedDatabase(T

25、iVA)bytheOrganizationforEconomicCo-operationandDevelopment(OECD)andconcludethatneitherbackwardnorforwardlinkageswereabletoimprovetherelativewagesoffemaleworkersinIndia.Nevertheless,Jenkins(2005)confirmedthatwomenwagesandworkingconditionsarebetterinGVCs.Furthermore,fewpapershavediscussedtheimpactofGV

26、Csonwomen,semploymentingeneral.GVCparticipationhasbeenproventoincreasefemaleemploymentespeciallyfordevelopingcountries(ShepherdandStone,2013;BamberandStaritz,2016).Yet,itisimportanttonotethattheimpactofGVCsonfemaleempowermentcanbemoderatedthroughseveralexternalandinternalfactors.Attheexternallevel,t

27、hescopeofdraftingofregionalandbilateraltradeagreementshasbeenlargelyexpandedtoaccommodateseveralSustainableDevelopmentGoals.Alargesetofagreementsprioritizedenvironmentalmattersthroughtheinclusionofclimatechangeandenvironmentalprotectionprovisions(Martmez-Zarzoso,2018).1.aborrightsrelatedprovisionsal

28、sogainedalargeinterestasstartingfrom2016,morethan136countriesnegotiatedatleastonefreetradeagreement(FTA)thatencloseslaborrightsrelatedprovisions(I1.O,2017;Harrison,2019).However,onlyfewstrideshavebeenmadeinordertoincludemoregenderrelatedprovisionsinFTAssinceamongallFTAsinforce,only20%ofthemincludeex

29、plicitchaptersorclausesthatendeavortoachievegenderequalityandtoempowerwomen(Monteiro,2021).Similarly,accordingtothegenderandtradereport(UNCTAD,2020),only74outof500RTAs(around15%)includeprovisionsthatprioritizegenderissues.Yet,itisworthmentioningthatitisnotthenumberofprovisionsorlengthofchaptersinclu

30、dinggenderconsiderationsthatmatterbuttheirenforcement.Bahri(2021)showshowsomeRTAssuchasCanada-ChileandCanada-IsraelAgreementsincludewholechaptersthataddressgenderissues;however,thereisalackoflegalobligationsthatensuretheirproperimplementation.Conversely,otherRTAssuchastheStabilizationandAssociationA

31、greementbetweentheEuropeanCommunitiesandtheRepublicofMontenegro,wheregenderprovisionsareincludedinthechapterondevelopmentandnotstandalonechaptersforgenderissues,aremoreefficientduetotheexistenceofstronglegalobligationsthatenforcethepartiestorespecttheclausesandtostopanydiscriminationbasedongender.At

32、theinternallevel,andgiventhediscriminationagainstwomenonthelabormarket,theymightfacemorebarrierswhenitcomesaccesstofinance,permitstostartabusiness,taxpolicy,etc.ThisiswhyitisimportanttoseehowtheeffectofGVCsonwomen,sempowermentismoderatedbytheobstaclestheymightface.Againstthisbackground,therearenopre

33、viousempiricalstudies,toourknowledge,thattackletheimpactofGVCsonwomensentrepreneurshipindevelopingcountriesandespeciallytheMiddleEastandNorthAfrica(MENA)region,whichischaracterizedbybothlowfemalelaborforceparticipationandlowintegrationintoGVCs.Inaddition,noempiricalstudieshavebeenconductedtoassessth

34、eimpactofgenderprovisionsonwomen,sengagementininternationaltradeintheMENAregion.Indeed,comparedtotheotherregions,theMENAregionisrankedthelowestintheworldforattaininggenderequalitybasedontheWorldEconomicForum,sGlobalGcndcrGapReport(2021).Moreover,basedontheWomenPeaceandSecurity(WPS)Index,theMENAregio

35、n*sperformancewasverypoorasitcomprises12ofthe25worstperformingcountriesglobally(DanonandCollin,2021).Therefore,thecontributionofthispaperistwofold.First,itfocusesontheimpactofGVCsonwomen,stradeparticipationasentrepreneursandemployees.Second,weanalyzehowthiseffectismoderatedthroughexternal(genderprov

36、isionsintradeagreements)andinternal(investmentclimatevariables)factors.Todoso,weusefirm-leveldatafor154developingeconomiesandemergingmarketswithaspecialfocusontheMiddleEastandNorthAfricaregion.OurmainfindingsshowthatGVCintegrationincreasesthelikelihoodofbeingafemaleownerandtheshareoffemaleemployees,

37、especiallyproductionones.Alessrobustnegativeeffectisfoundregardingtheimpactonbeingafemaletopmanager.Theseeffectsaremoderatedbytheinclusionofgenderprovisionsintradeagreementsandbythecharacteristicsoftheinvestmentclimate(especiallytaxpolicy,courts,accesstofinanceandcorruption).Theseresultsremainrobust

38、afterwecontrolfortheendogeneityofGVCusinganinstrumentalvariableapproachandapropensityscoreestimationmethodwherethetreatmentisbeingpartofaGVC.Thus,GVCscanbeperceivedasatoolthatboostswomen,sempowermentinemergingeconomies,especiallyintheMENAregion.Theremainderofthepaperisorganizedasfollows.Section2pres

39、entsthedataweuseandsomestylizedfactsonGVCsandwomen,sparticipation.Section3isdedicatedtothemethodologyandtheeconometricspecification.Section4presentstheempiricalresults.Section5providesrobustnesschecks.Section6concludesandprovidessomepolicyimplicationstoincreasewomen,semploymentthroughtradeandGVCchan

40、nels.2. DataandStylizedFactsToexplorethenexusbetweenfirms,integrationintoGVCsandwomen,stradeparticipationasentrepreneursandemployees,firm-levelpooleddatafromtheWBESisused.Thesesurveyscoverabroadrangeofbusinessenvironmenttopicssuchasaccesstofinance,trade,corruption,competition,andinfrastructurefor143

41、,598firmsin154developingeconomiesandemergingmarkets.Themanufacturingandservicessectorsaretheprimarybusinessofinterestinthesesurveysconductedinarangeoftimethatvariesfrom2006to2021(seeAppendix1).TheobjectiveofthissectionistoprovidesomedescriptivestatisticsrelatedtothenexusbetweenGVCsandwomen,sparticip

42、ation.TodefineGVCs,wefollowthedefinitionofDovisandZaki(2020)wheretheleaststrictdefinitionincludesfirmsthatexportandimportsimultaneously(GVCl).Second,twostricterdefinitionsarerelatedtofirmswhoaresimultaneouslyexportersandimportersandhaveeitheraninternationalcertification(GVC2)orashareofitscapitalowne

43、dbyaforeignfirm(GVC3).Thestrictestdefinitioncombinesthefourcriteriaaltogether(GVC4).ThisvariableisadummyvariablethattakesavalueofoneifthefirmispartofaGVCandzerootherwise.Basedonthesedefinitions,aroundone-thirdoffirmsarepartofGVCswithmostofthembeingtwo-waytradersandonly2.3%thataretwo-waytrader,haveaf

44、oreigncapitalandaninternationalcertification(seeTableAlinAppendix3).ItisimportanttonotethatthesetwodefinitionshelpusmeasureGVCparticipationattheextensivemarginlevel,nottheintensivemarginone.Attheregionallevel(seeFigureAlinAppendix3),EuropeandCentralAsia(ECA)isthemostintegratedregioninGVCs(foralldefi

45、nitions)andSouthAsiatheleastintegratedone.TheMENAregion,whilebeingslightlybetterthanSouthAsia,isstillfarfromothertopperformerssuchasECAand1.atinAmericanandtheCaribbean.ThisconfirmspreviousfindingsoftheliteratureonGVCsintheMENAregionthatischaracterizedbyanunfriendlybusinessclimate(DovisandZaki,2020),

46、politicalconnections(Kruseetal.,2021andAboushadyandZaki,2022)andthepresenceofdifferenttradebarriers(whethertariffsornon-tariffmeasures,seeKaramandZaki(2021).Asitwasmentionedbefore,thispaperattemptstoexaminethenexusbetweenwomenslaborparticipationandGVCsintegration.1.AChasthehighestshareoffull-timefem

47、aleemployeesfollowedbyEAPandECAandontheotherextremeSouthAsiaandtheMENAregion.Inaddition,foralltheregionsproductionworkersaremuchhigherthannon-productionones(seeTableA2inAppendix3).Whiletheformeraremainlyworkinginthemanufacturingsector,thelatterareintheservicesone.ThisisconfirmedbyTable1thatshowsthat

48、beingintegratedinaGVCispositivelyassociatedtoalargernumberoffemales,whetherproductionornon-productionworkersbutmoreproductionones.ThisresultappliestothedifferentGVCsdefinitionsbearinginmindthatforthemostrestrictivedefinition,theresultsarealsodrivenbythefirmsize(aslargerfirmsaremorelikelytobepartofGV

49、Cs).SuchapositiveassociationisrathergoodnewsgiventhatGVCsshouldmainlytakeplaceinthemanufacturingsector,whichislikelytocreatemorejobsforfemaleproductionworkers(bluecollars)thatareabundantinemergingeconomies.Table1.TheAverageNumberofFemaleEmployeesandGVCsGVClGVC2GVC3GVC4NoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesFemaleEmployees19.8143.1920.6079.2721.1287.8621.30108.81FemaleProductionWorkers14.3572.8321.4585.1323.95

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