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1、前情提要1.astweekonNumb3rs:不是富就是穷宝贝Richerorpoorer,baby.对一个没有前科的30岁教师Prettybigcareerchangefora30-year-old真是职业大转变啊teacherwithnopriors?Crystal?Crystal?你已经进入了Youhavebeenlocked和凶手一起的追踪曲线inapursuitcurvewiththekillers.她已经肆无忌惮Shehascrossedthethreshold,在为所欲为了andtherearenomoreboundaries.我们马上抓住他Weregonnahavetotake
2、em.FBI别动FBI.Dontmove.你看见1.ook,yousee她对Brenner所做的呢？whatshedidtoBrenner.你差点也死掉了吧？Whatalmosthappenedtoyou?我不会告诉你她在哪儿mnottellingyouwheresheis.我们或生或死Welive,orwedie.你来选择Yourchoice.Getinthecar上车来开车吧anddrive.面朝前faceforward好的ThatsrightBuck会自♥由♥的Buckgoesfree.看上去她留下了线索Lookslikesheleftouttheorelse
3、.是吗？Yeah?我们正在对这个区域进行调杳Weredoingacompletecanvasofthearea,but9点10点之后附近就没人了arentalotofpeopleoutherepast9:00,10:00atnight.那这个餐馆呢？Whataboutthisdiner?他们在6点换班Shiftchangewas6:00a.m.正在调查值晚班的人Weretrackingdownthenightcrewrightnow.她这样做事是有目的的Imean,sheleftitlikethisforareason.她离她的目标更远了SheswayoffherM.0.这里没有尸体Nodea
4、dbodiesleftbehind.如果那不是尸体呢？Yeah,whatifitsnotabody,though?也许是人&hearts质♥-也许吧Maybeit,sahostage.Maybe.Megan在干什么？怎么还不来？-我打电♥话♥打她家WhatsthedealwithMegan?Whereisshealready?Itriedcallingher还有她的手♥机♥都没人atherapartmentandhercellphone.Therewasnoanswer.好的打电♥话♥给Larry
5、-我们没有他的电♥话♥Yeah,well,tryLarry.Wedon,thaveanumberforhim.并且你知道对吧？Andyouknowhesnotlisted,right?等等Fleinhardt?Wait.Fleinhardt?CharlieCharlie!你在开玩笑吗？Fleinhardt和Megan?Youkiddingme?FleinhardtandMegan?是的都已经有几周了Yeah,man,foraboutafewweeksnow.大家都知道了？Soeverybodyknows?现在大家都知道了Everybodyknowsnow.她居然没告
6、诉我Icantbelieveshedidn,ttellme.是的就像我以前说的Yeah,soits.itslikeIsaidearlier.基于新出现的点我怀疑追踪曲线Imean,evenwiththenewpoint,Idoubtmypursuitcurves还能不能够适用aregonnaholdupanylonger.考虑到BuckWinters的被捕Youknow,giventhearrestofBuckWinters,行动由随机变为故意thechangeinmovementfromrandomto-toincentivized,他们已经不是一伙了they,renolongerateam
7、.好的你有Larry的电♥话♥吧快给ColbyRight.YougotanumberonLarry,giveittoColby.呃实际上Larry没有号♥码Uh,actually,Larrydoesnthaveanumber.他连电♥话♥都没有-真的？Hedoesn,thaveaphone.Really?他没有手♥机♥?Hedoesnthaveacellphone?是的他称之为电子绳索Yeah.Hecallsthemelectronicleashes.你可以试着打到他办公室1.ook,youcou
8、ldtryhimathisoffice,但是现在太早了”but,youknow,itsstillprettyearly.哦这也许是她Oh,wait.Maybethisisherhere.好的是她Megan怎么了？Yeah,Igother.Megan,whatsthedeal?是AgentEppes吗？你在快速拨号♥的第一位IsthisAgentEppes,numberoneonherspeeddial?这是谁？Whoisthis?这如你所想Exactlywhoyouthinkitis.我想用Reeves来交换BuckIwantastraight-uptrade-BuckforRe
9、eves.让我和她说话Allright,letmetalktoher.Burbank机场晚上6点BurbankAirport,6:00p.m.准备好一辆加满油的Cessna车HaveaCessnafueledandreadytogo.好的通告查Megan的车对她手♥机♥进行监听Allright,getanAPBonMeganscar,andataponhercellphone.开始GPS追踪如果发现什么马上三角定位StartaGPStracking.Ifyougetanything,1wantittriangulated.嘿本机号♥码323Hey,yo
10、uvereached323.该死的把Winters押出来Oh,damn!PullWintersoutofholding.发生什么了？What-WhaCsgoingon?Hoyle劫持了Megan快走HoylesgotMegan.Letsgo!Hoyle把Megan的手♥机♥扔到了So,HoyleditchedMeganscellphoneAlameda附近的一个垃圾筒里inagarbagecanoffofAlameda.我们已经封锁了整个地区Wegotroadblockssetupallovertown.好的Allright,good.她就在那儿Theresheis
11、.好的Right.我们看看她等了多久Allright,let,sseehowlongshewaited.她没有等Shedidn,twait.她是在跟踪Shefollowed.好的听着Allright,look.Hoyle醒来发现Buck不见了对吗？So,Hoylewakesup,shefindsBuckmissing,right?他们已经杀了个男友PierceBrennerTheyvealreadykilledoneoldboyfriend.PierceBrenner.并且他想找到BillyRiversAndhesoutlookingfor也就是第二个男友thisguy,BillyRivers
12、,who-whoisboyfriendnumbertwo.她肯定在我们Shemusthaveshownupright羁押Buck时出现过atthetimewelockedupBuck.并且一直跟踪我们至此Andfollowedusstraightbackhere.要在这里停车Thattakessomeguts,parking可真是胆大啊rightoutthere,man.什么人能够如此大胆？Whatkindofpersontakesthatkindofrisk?极度胆小的人Thescariestkind-肆无忌惮并且行动谨慎toocrazytocare,smartenoughnottogetc
13、aught.我们一起吃早饭1.ARRY:We-Wehadbreakfast.然后互道再见Wesaidgood-bye.是在什么时候？Whattimewasthat?哦不清楚大约4:30或者4:45Oh,Idontknow.4:30orquarterto5:00.你发现有什么不对劲的吗？Didyounoticeanythingelse?也许是车还是有人转来转去？Acarmaybe,somebodyhangingaround?没有没有No,no.Iwasjust.我当时只是注意MeganIwasfocusedonMegan.不对不对Andthatisnottrue.不是这样的Thatsnottru
14、e.我有安排的Ihadmyownagenda.我必须回到我的智力轨道Myownneedtoreturntomyownintellectualorbit.我到底是怎么了？Whatthehelliswrongwithme?我们会找到她的Larry好吗？Weregoingtogetherback,Larry,okay?她没有走远Shesoneofours.如果我再多等15分钟Ifdjustwaitedthe15minutes,开车跟着她回家followedhercarhomewithmycar.1.arryMegan是个很不错的Larry,很不错的FBI探员MeganisadecoratedFBIa
15、gent,她是以色列格斗术的黑带shesablackbeltinKravMaga,并且是这里最棒的andoneofthebestshotsinthisoffice.等等What-Whatareyou.?你是在说我Isthisyourartlessway没有能力ofsayingthatIlacked来保护她吗？thecompetencetodefendher?我只是说这种情况下Itsmywayofsayingthatonagoodday,我们任何人都会如此的anyoneofuscanbegottento.那是嵌在墙里的Itsboltedtothewall.但随便你吧Butgoaheadandsa
16、tisfyyourself.你可是绑♥架♥了联邦特工Youvekidnappedafederalagent.我被通缉犯有谋杀袭击mwantedformurder,assault,数不清的抢劫enoughrobberiestolosetrack.你真想告诉我在犯大错误前Youreallywanttotellmenowhowmsupposedtoletyougo应该把你放走吗？beforeIgetintobigtrouble?你在做什么自己知道Youresmartenoughtoknowwhatyouredoing.我想知道为什么WhatIwanttoknowiswhy
17、.我告诉他们用你来交换BuckItoldthemdtradeyouforBuck.至少可以让你活到晚上6点Thatkeepsyoubreathing,till6:00p.m.,atleast.你真的相信Causeyoureallythink他们会向你妥协吗？theyregoingtonegotiatewithyou?不你并不相信No,youdon,t你可不蠢Yourenotstupid,并且你也没有疯andIdontbelieveyourecrazy,either.抛弃我过去的生活ThrowingawaythelifeIhad,是有人会不同意的therearethosewhowoulddisa
18、gree.是的因为他们不知道过着Yeah,causetheydontknowwhatitslike戴面具的生活是什么滋味tolivealifethatisntyourown.你读了点资料Youreadafewfiles,你以为就了解我了？youfigureyouunderstandme?是的也许比你认为Yeah,Imightknowyoualittlebetter的要多一点Crystalthanyouthink,Crystal.我16岁就离开家了IIefthomeat16.哦那你是什么时候被带回家的？Oh.Howlongdidittakethemtodragyouback?我没有回去Ididn
19、tgoback.但是事情变得很糟糕But,youknow,thingsgotalittlecrazy,并且我觉醒了andIhadawakeupcall,我得决定这辈子andIhadtodecidewhichwaytherestofmylife要干些什么wasgoingtogo.是吗？你想过疯狂吗？Yeah?Youevermisscrazy?16岁每天早上醒来16andwakingupeverydayfree,不知道自己的目标havingnoideawherethedaywasgoingtotakeme?是的我想过Yeah,Imissit.你告诉我这些Istheresomereason有什么目的
20、吗？你越是了解我youretellingmeallthis?Themoreyouknowaboutme,你就越不会杀我thelesslikelyyouaretokillme.坐下Sitdown.Crystal劫持了一个人♥质♥Crystaltookahostage.那又怎么样？So?她想用你来交换联邦特工Afederalagentshewantstotradeyoufor.你想换【可你的特工？Andyouwantyouragentback?你最好快点Thenyoudbetter.你不说出情况是不会让你走的Yourenotgoinganywhereuntilyoute
21、llmewhatIwanttoknow.好吧Thatsfine.我有的是时间Igotallday.好的但我没有时间你有麻烦了Well,Idont,andthatshouldworryyou.是吗？为什么？Yeah?Why?因为最重要的事Causenothingmatterstome就是救出我的手下并且我时间不多exceptgettingmyagentback,andIgotverylittletime,你是我唯一的线索andyouremyonlylead.那又怎么样？Sowhat?你想做什么呢？Whatareyougoingtodo?你想打我吗？Areyougoingtobeatmeup?我可
22、从来没有打过犯人veneverbeatenaprisoner但如果我离开时inmylife,butifyoudonttellmewhatIwanttoknow你还不告诉我的话bythetimeIwalkoutofthatdoor,我的手会不听话的it,soutofmyhands.我什么都mnottellingyou不会说的anything.你肯定要这样做吗？-我看上去不肯定吗？Yousurethisiswhatyouwanttodo?DoIlookunsure?Don我只是说我看过你Don,mjustsaying,veseenwhathappens跨越界限时的样子whenyoucrosscer
23、tainlines.要后悔就很难了Itcanbereallyhardtofindyourwayback.COIby我只想找到我的特工Colby,theonlythingIwanttofindismyagent.CharlesCharles.你为什么Whyareyoujust坐着不动？sittinghere?我在思考mthinking.关于什么？About?帕雷托改善（信息经济学的一种理论）Paretoimprovements,绝对值螟蚣线shapelyvalues,centipedes.CharlesMegan被劫持了Youknow,Charles,Meganisacaptive,也许她受了重
24、伤andshemaybegravelywounded.我想现在该想办法解决Ithinkthismightbeatimeforsolutions,并不是玩智力游戏的时候andnotthese-theseintellectualmusings.Larry我和你-样担心她的情况1.arry,Imeverybitasconcernedaboutherasyouare.我可不这样想Oh,Idoubtthat.但是我要帮忙的话Butformetohelp,我会控制住脾气Ineedtomaintainaneventemper还有清晰的思维andalucidthoughtprocess,因此你的担心可以理解s
25、o,youranxietyisunderstandable,但是没有帮助butit,snothelpful.是的我知道Yeah,Iknow,Iknow.我被情绪控制了mjustcloudedwithemotion,并且我无理的朝你发火andIamperverselyresentingyou打乱了你的清晰思维yourclear-headednesshere.我能做些什么？WhatcanIdotohelp?现在Rightnow?请离开1.eave.好的我会的Yeah.Iwilldothat.他们在Ventura附近的一个废弃屋里Theywerestayinginanabandonedhouseof
26、fofVentura.她可能已经不在那里了Shesprobablynotthereanymore.好的五分钟内组成小分队Allright,yougotfiveminutestoputtogetherateam.他说了她的下步行动了吗？-如果他知道的话他会告诉我的Hetellyouwhereshe,dgonext?Ifheknew,hewouldvetoldme.没人-没人Clear.Clear.没人Clear.Megan的车Megan,scar.打开后备箱Allright,popthetrunk.好的Allright她在一公里外扔掉了Megan的手♥机♥Shedum
27、pedMegan,sphoneaboutamile并且换了一辆车fromhere,andthentheychangedcars.Megan还和她在一起是活着的TookMeganwithher-thatmeansshesstillalive.我们现在所知的Sowhatwehave,really,只是对有限信息的一种组合isabargaininggamewithincompleteinformation.就正如游戏中一个人Youknow,it,sasifoneplayerhasofferedsomething给另一个人toasecondplayerinexchangeforsomething他所不
28、能抛弃的东西一样thatthesecondplayer,sjustunabletorelinquish.因此关键在于改变游戏Sothetrick,Ithink,istoalterthegame,或者改变游戏的参数or,youknow,altertheparametersofthegame.你是说正如意在打破平局的突然死亡加时赛？Youmeanlikeasudden-deathovertimetobreakatiescore.知道吗？Youknowwhat?是个好例子Thatsnotabadexample.Thatsnotbad.但是比如两个人在玩五子棋However,imaginetwopeo
29、pleplayingtic-tac-toe.如果俩人都很理智都不犯错误Ifbothplayrationally,andneithermakeamistake,那么比赛永远都是平局well,thenthegamewillalwaysendinadraw,right?如果一方想要胜利的话Imeaninorderforonesidetowin,你必须改变游戏规则youhavetoaltertherulesofthegame,允许X连走两步youknowallow,Xto,tomaketwoconsecutivemoves或者禁止0选择特定方块orprohibitOfromchoosingacruci
30、alsquare.你是说作弊？是的Youmeancheat.Well,yeah,你也可以那样说Imeanyoucouldputitthatway.我们改变比赛的能力See-seeourabilitytoalterthisgame来自于CrystalHoylestemsfromthefactthatCrystalHoyle,有很多目标really,shewantsmorethanonething.我们抓住Buck时他们在找BillyRiversWhenWecaughtBuck,theywerelookingforBillyRivers.Rivers很能躲过我们Rivershasbeenprett
31、ygoodathidingfromher并且躲过她但是andfromus,though.However,我们可以对此问题wecanapplysomeforwardinduction提前作出归纳tothatproblem,aswell.Rivers的犯罪记录有着惊人的相似性Riverscriminalhistorycontainsonestrikingcommonality,他被捕记录中的81.25%theappearanceofaspecific有同一个律师出现attorneyin81.25%ofhisarrestrecord.你给这个律师打电♥话♥Soyoucal
32、lthatattorney.你向他解释Youexplaintohim他的当事人因CrystalHoylethathisclientderivesagreaterbenefit被捕能获得的好处fromCrystalHoyle,sapprehensionthanhavingto,要比他一直无休止的tohideforanindeterminate逃亡来得多amountoftime.你认为他会相信吗？Youthinkhemightgoforthat?嘿即便是律师Well,hey,youknow,look.也不能和你争论数学Evenalawyercantarguewithmath.你得给我个解释Soyo
33、ugottoexplainsomethingtome.电影里坏人不就是这样被抓的吗？Isntthathowthebadguysalwaysgetcaughtinthemovies,解释的太多了？explainingtoomuch?你真的认为你是坏人吗？Youreallyconsideryourselftobeabadguy?你不是吗？Dontyou?我通常不相信Idontgenerally好人和坏人我相信道理believeinbadandgood,Ibelieveinreasons.我认为BUCk杀了他父亲1thinkBuckkilledhisfather这是他逃跑的理由andthatwash
34、isreasonforrunning.但是我不知道你的原因ButIdontknowwhatyoursis.好吧我不能就这样抛弃他Well,Icouldntjustabandonhim.一个好男孩Sweetboy.如此的专注Sointense.你不记得你那时的生活了吗？Dontyourememberwhatlifewaslikewhenyouwerethatage,爱情是如此的纯真？andlovewasjustsouncomplicated?是的但是CrystalYeah,but他只是个孩子Crystal,he,sjustaboy.哦真的吗？Oh,really?因为我不认识CauseIdontk
35、nowmany那些比他大很多的男人mentwicehisagethat,dbewilling愿意照顾一个女人和她的totakecareofawomanandher.她的什么？Andherwhat?你怀孕了吗？Areyoupregnant?不我没有怀孕No,mnotpregnant.你曾怀孕过吗？Wereyoupregnant?曾经有一次Onceuponatime.就是你15岁时那是你为什么跑掉吗？Whenyouwere15,isthatwhyyouranaway?不我逃跑是因为我是个差生No,IranawaybecauseIwasaBplusstudent,足球队员从未亲过男孩soccerte
36、am,neverkissedaboy.父母时刻监视我Parentsneverletmeoutof他们害怕我犯错误theirsight,theyweresoafraidofmescrewingupmylife.这就是你所做的Sothat,sexactlywhatyoudid.你来到这里Youcamehereandyougotinvolved和一个已婚男人摘在一起你的朋友Lydiawithamarriedman,andyourfriendLydia.说你逃跑了半年saidyouranawayforsixmonths.是Brenner让你怀孕的吗？DidBrennergetyoupregnant?是
37、的他突然不愿意离开他妻子了Yeah,allofasuddenhecouldn,tleavehiswife.他的岳父要帮他开一个车行Hisfather-in-lawwasgoingtohelphimopenupacarlot.他就变心了Sohemadesomearrangements.Pierce所做的是AllPiercehad把我送到Billy的家todowasdrivemetoBillyshouse.那是我最后见到那杂种Itwasthelast1sawofthatbastard.直到星期二晚上UntilTuesdaynight.但是就Billy而言ButllsayonethingforBil
38、ly,他是个比Pierce好的销♥售♥员hesabettersalesmanthanPierce.因为他说服我Causeheconvincedmethat我的女儿被别的家庭收养会过的更好mydaughterwouldbebetteroffwithsomeotherfamily.Crystal你知道你的女儿在哪儿吗？Crystal,doyouknowwhereyourdaughteris?不知道No.Billy会告诉我的Billysgoingtotellme.我会找到她的Andmgoingtofindherandgetherback.我有15年没有见过那个女孩了Hav
39、entseenthegirlinlike15years.但是你知道她在找你Butyouknewshewaslookingforyou.呃她的一个朋友Lydia问起过Uh,thatfriendofhers,Lydiawasaskingaround.我听说Crystal正在赶来IheardCrystaPdbeenontheStrip,找一些以前的地方hittingsomeoftheoldplaces,询问一些以前的朋友talkingtosomeoftheoldpeople.她为什么想杀你呢Billy?Whydoesshewanttokillyou,Billy?谁说她想杀我？Whosaysshedo
40、es?她一出现你就不顾切跑掉Sheshowsup,youdropeverything,disappear,你就这样一走了之？youtucktailandrun?以前的女友来了早就分手了Girlfriendshowsup,waypasttheexpirationdate,你可不会让你自己youdontgooutofyourway那么容易被找到懂吗？tomakeyourselfavailable,youknowwhatImean?我认为他是来合作的Ithoughthewasheretocooperate.我的当事人在合作Myclientiscooperating.他是自愿来的Camehereofh
41、isownvolition.有什么发现吗？Anything?他们是在浪费时间Theyrewastingourtimehere.看看这个Takealookatthis.也许会改变他的态度Maychangehisattitude.这是Megan要求杳的PierceBrenner的资料ItsthedeepbackgroundMeganrequestedonPierceBrenner.1992年PierceBrenner支付了5万美元In1992,PierceBrennermadea$50,000payoff.Pierce是谁？不是给你的Piercewho?Nottoyou.是给你的Toyou.得了吧
42、你在问我以前15年前的Comeon,youreaskingmeaboutasingle一项收入?-是一个死掉的汽车销♥售♥商给的feefrom15yearsago-Fromadeadcardealer他和你的当事人同享一个女友whohadthesamegirlfriendasyourclient.在1992年In1992.又怎么样？So?真是够巧啊律师先生So,thatsasmallworld,Counselor.等一等Brenner死掉了？Waitaminute,Brennersdead?Hoyle两天前杀了他如果你不合作的话Hoylekilledhimtwoni
43、ghtsago,andifyoudonthelpme你的下场也会一样的hereyouregonnabebaitformeoutthere.你是在威胁我的当事人吗？Areyouthreateningmyclient?是的我就是Yeah,youbetyourassIam.我们是自愿Wecameinhere来合作的嘿voluntarily.Hey.我有个探员还有Ihaveanagentfour,fivehours几个小时就被杀死了-我们谈完了awayfrombeingkilled.Weredonehere.哦你谈完了他可没有逮捕他Oh,youmaybebuthesnot.Arresthim.逮捕我？
44、为什么？-蓄意强♥奸♥听上去如何？Arrestme?Forwhat?Forstatutoryrape,howsthathuh?猥亵幼♥女♥如何?CrystalHoyle只有15岁Corruptingaminor,howaboutthat?CrystalHoylewas15.你可是犯大错误了Eppes探员Youvejustmadeabigmistake,AgentEppes.是的告我啊Yeah,sueme.我可是超越了底线了mcrossinglineshere.我从前可没有这样做过mdoingthingsIwouldnthavedonebe
45、fore.你知道我可是走投无路了Youknow,Imeanmdesperate.我不知道还能做什么我不知道I-Idon,tknowwhatelsetodo,Igotnoanswers.你不必自责Yourenotresponsible.不我是得自责No,that,sexactlywhat1am.如果我让Edgerton放了那孩子的话AndIshouldhaveturnedEdgertonloose我现在已经抓到Hoyle了onthatkidbefore;dhaveHoylebynow.这是所谓的不可预测后果性法则TheressomethingcalledthelawOfunintendedconsequences.Charlie我不在乎你的法则Charlie,Idontcare好吗？aboutyourlaws,allright?我不在乎你的理论你的公式1dontcareaboutyourtheories,o
